Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts

Friday, January 29, 2010

What Happens If The Debt Ceiling Is Not Raised?

Yesterday America just got permission to hit 100% Debt/GDP. The Senate approved an amendment increasing the US debt ceiling by $1.9 trillion. for a total of $14.3 Trillion. I was reading Zerohedge when someone asked what would happen if the ceiling wasn't raised? This is what came out of the comments section that I found very interesting.

(The following are from comments by readers on Zerohedge.com)

Short answer: Nothing happens (but you knew that)

Long answer: Current law requires a budget ceiling and a vote to raise it. Violating that law would open up violation of other similar laws. Not too far down the path of similar broken laws, the states start printing their own money. In US dollars. At which point hyperinflation ignites and the USofA ceases to exist as a functioning union. Much hilarity ensues.

The monetary system of the world (not just the USA) is based upon the illusion that there will always be greater fools available to pay the last greater fool.

The only reason people remain in the room that's about to be flooded with poisonous gas is the complete and utter belief (supported by group think and conventional wisdom along with healthy dollops of denial and self interest trumping rationality) that each person can get out before the gas can over come them.

As long as the majority continues to believe in the lie, the lie remains solid and fully formed. Thus the illusion is reality because the belief (and by extension the actions) of the people makes it real. One of the realizations one has when looking at this philosophically is that reality is simply what the majority says it is.

The banks are stable despite horrendously convoluted and distorted balance sheets and non-performing assets simply because the government says they are and people want them to be. Thus they are. If a rule or law threatens to upset the illusion, it's changed to conform to the group think.

What most people don't understand is that this "reality" is extremely fragile and will fail quickly. The Fed, Treasury and the President understand this extremely well. This is why this is considered a National Security issue and every lie, theft, payoff and Ponzi is encouraged and endorsed at the highest levels. Our reality is supported by a lie and thus by extension is a lie. Since there is no more real support under our economic reality, every effort must be extended to support the lie.

Do or Die! Seen from that point of view, everything that's going on is perfectly understandable.

The lie holds until the first person breaks the pact and heads for the exit. It takes no more than one. Then the stampede erupts because while nobody wants to be first, everyone wants to be second.

I think California is that "person" at the sovereign level. As goes Cali, so goes the nation, so goes the world and in rapid fashion. We will see, come summer, if Cali stays within the illusion or bails.


Someone pointed out this video as metaphor for our current situation:

Cunning lions await the herd as it lumbers forward, trustingly, behind their dear leader. If divided, the weak in the herd are slowly picked off, unless...




Anyways, if someone has a better explanation to what would really happen, send it to me!

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Online Trading Account - Adult Gambling?

Do you like to gamble? Living out in Los Angeles I saw a lot of people spend money and credit like it was going out of style. Part of living in Southern California was a lifestyle to go to Las Vegas (4hr drive or 45min flight) every quarter or so during the year. This again was during the boom where everything was going good in the economy. I have seen friends drop thousands of dollars while being drunk and spending their hard earned money. They might as well have been throwing money out the window on their way there.

I for one spent my fair share of money in Vegas too…and have to admit I enjoyed every minute of it. My friends and I had an on going joke with me every time we went to vegas. One night we were out and a friend turned to me on the way to the next casino and asked how much I was up. I told him 85 and he looked at me knowing I was not a huge gambler and said “Damn go ahead with your bad self”. I immediately stated that I was up 85 cents from playing the 25 cent poker at the bars. We all had a good laugh.

Now once again I am not a big gambler with my money but I will gamble if my fun vs time/money ratio is worth it. I rate this ratio based on if I spend $100.00 for 4 hours on blackjack- was my time worth it -$25/hr – I would say in Vegas $25/hr is about right for me which is why Vegas is rich and everyone else is not.

I am a huge sports fan and I enjoying watching sports. I got put onto sportsbook ,which is an online gambling service. You have to put money into the account before you can bet, so you cannot put a credit card down and go to town. I usually put $50.00 in and take the minimum($5.00)bets and put it on a Basketball or football game I am going to watch. I have to say it makes the game have more of an interest. I know I will probably get killed by a lot of PF bloggers about this, but it is something I like and it last 1/2 year?(unless I go on a cold streak) What can I say…I don’t do it make money but for entertainment value, is the $5.00 worth the 2hrs?, no doubt!!

So I have a friend who works really hard and makes a really good living. He seems very informed with finances, and makes more than he probably imagined he would at this point in his life. I recently visited him and asked if he is still gambling on sportsbook and he mentioned that he had graduated from it. He was putting a lot more money down, lets say $25-50 per game. He said he was gambling on the stock market and that he opened up a Sharebuilder account. He has about 4-5% of is paycheck going in that money market account where if he comes across a stock he likes or reads an article he will go in and buy some shares. He looked at me and said “its adult gambling son”…I got a good laugh.

But is he on to something? I know a lot of people will disagree, but both my friend and myself have high risk tolerances. Who doesn’t like buying stock when the prices are so low too. He told me straight up that he enjoyed watching his “play money”. He also is using it to learn about stocks and reading more about them and paying more attention to it. I know they say don’t spend your money trying to learn to play the stock market but instead learn the stock market and then play it.

First off I don't have that kind of money...so I am not doing it. That night as I was talking with him about it, he was in front of his computer and went and bought a few hundred dollars in a company stock. When we woke up the next day (PST) it had already lost 4%...he looked at me and laughed! Might seem like he is dumb with his money but after all can we live just a little?